diff --git a/packages/flutter/lib/src/gestures/velocity_tracker.dart b/packages/flutter/lib/src/gestures/velocity_tracker.dart
index ca7aa468a0..f761a1be23 100644
--- a/packages/flutter/lib/src/gestures/velocity_tracker.dart
+++ b/packages/flutter/lib/src/gestures/velocity_tracker.dart
@@ -149,12 +149,17 @@ class VelocityTracker {
   /// The kind of pointer this tracker is for.
   final PointerDeviceKind kind;
 
+  // Time difference since the last sample was added
+  final Stopwatch _sinceLastSample = Stopwatch();
+
   // Circular buffer; current sample at _index.
   final List<_PointAtTime?> _samples = List<_PointAtTime?>.filled(_historySize, null);
   int _index = 0;
 
   /// Adds a position as the given time to the tracker.
   void addPosition(Duration time, Offset position) {
+    _sinceLastSample.start();
+    _sinceLastSample.reset();
     _index += 1;
     if (_index == _historySize) {
       _index = 0;
@@ -169,6 +174,16 @@ class VelocityTracker {
   ///
   /// Returns null if there is no data on which to base an estimate.
   VelocityEstimate? getVelocityEstimate() {
+    // no recent user movement?
+    if (_sinceLastSample.elapsedMilliseconds > VelocityTracker._assumePointerMoveStoppedMilliseconds) {
+      return const VelocityEstimate(
+        pixelsPerSecond: Offset.zero,
+        confidence: 1.0,
+        duration: Duration.zero,
+        offset: Offset.zero,
+      );
+    }
+
     final List<double> x = <double>[];
     final List<double> y = <double>[];
     final List<double> w = <double>[];
@@ -195,7 +210,7 @@ class VelocityTracker {
       final double age = (newestSample.time - sample.time).inMicroseconds.toDouble() / 1000;
       final double delta = (sample.time - previousSample.time).inMicroseconds.abs().toDouble() / 1000;
       previousSample = sample;
-      if (age > _horizonMilliseconds || delta > _assumePointerMoveStoppedMilliseconds) {
+      if (age > _horizonMilliseconds || delta > VelocityTracker._assumePointerMoveStoppedMilliseconds) {
         break;
       }
 
@@ -288,6 +303,8 @@ class IOSScrollViewFlingVelocityTracker extends VelocityTracker {
 
   @override
   void addPosition(Duration time, Offset position) {
+    _sinceLastSample.start();
+    _sinceLastSample.reset();
     assert(() {
       final _PointAtTime? previousPoint = _touchSamples[_index];
       if (previousPoint == null || previousPoint.time <= time) {
@@ -326,6 +343,16 @@ class IOSScrollViewFlingVelocityTracker extends VelocityTracker {
 
   @override
   VelocityEstimate getVelocityEstimate() {
+    // no recent user movement?
+    if (_sinceLastSample.elapsedMilliseconds > VelocityTracker._assumePointerMoveStoppedMilliseconds) {
+      return const VelocityEstimate(
+        pixelsPerSecond: Offset.zero,
+        confidence: 1.0,
+        duration: Duration.zero,
+        offset: Offset.zero,
+      );
+    }
+
     // The velocity estimated using this expression is an approximation of the
     // scroll velocity of an iOS scroll view at the moment the user touch was
     // released, not the final velocity of the iOS pan gesture recognizer
@@ -387,6 +414,16 @@ class MacOSScrollViewFlingVelocityTracker extends IOSScrollViewFlingVelocityTrac
 
   @override
   VelocityEstimate getVelocityEstimate() {
+    // no recent user movement?
+    if (_sinceLastSample.elapsedMilliseconds > VelocityTracker._assumePointerMoveStoppedMilliseconds) {
+      return const VelocityEstimate(
+        pixelsPerSecond: Offset.zero,
+        confidence: 1.0,
+        duration: Duration.zero,
+        offset: Offset.zero,
+      );
+    }
+
     // The velocity estimated using this expression is an approximation of the
     // scroll velocity of a macOS scroll view at the moment the user touch was
     // released.
diff --git a/packages/flutter/test/gestures/velocity_tracker_test.dart b/packages/flutter/test/gestures/velocity_tracker_test.dart
index 3e6b94534b..61eebc13fe 100644
--- a/packages/flutter/test/gestures/velocity_tracker_test.dart
+++ b/packages/flutter/test/gestures/velocity_tracker_test.dart
@@ -144,4 +144,22 @@ void main() {
       }
     }
   });
+
+  test('Assume zero velocity when there are no recent samples', () async {
+    final IOSScrollViewFlingVelocityTracker tracker = IOSScrollViewFlingVelocityTracker(PointerDeviceKind.touch);
+    Offset position = Offset.zero;
+    Duration time = Duration.zero;
+    const Offset positionDelta = Offset(0, -1);
+    const Duration durationDelta = Duration(seconds: 1);
+
+    for (int i = 0; i < 10; i+=1) {
+      position += positionDelta;
+      time += durationDelta;
+      tracker.addPosition(time, position);
+    }
+
+    await Future<void>.delayed(const Duration(milliseconds: 50));
+
+    expect(tracker.getVelocity().pixelsPerSecond, Offset.zero);
+  });
 }